+EV Bet Discovery
We surface pricing inefficiencies and implied probabilities to help traders locate +EV opportunities across Kalshi and other prediction market venues.
Mentions Market Intelligence for Prediction Markets
We analyze thousands of earnings forecasts and transcript events across major companies like Coinbase, Disney, and more to price mentions markets with rigor.
Event Alpha uses machine learning models trained on thousands of transcripts and a wide feature set that includes keyword frequencies, speaker context, quarter trends, and market pricing signals. This helps us produce cleaner probability estimates for mentions markets and earnings prediction workflows.
We surface pricing inefficiencies and implied probabilities to help traders locate +EV opportunities across Kalshi and other prediction market venues.
Our system parses earnings calls and earnings reports into measurable mention signals, trend shifts, and confidence distributions by keyword.
Compare historical outcomes, current market asks, and fair-value estimates in one matrix built for mentions market forecasting.
The same workflow your team uses in production: fair value vs market ask, edge scoring, and a quarter-by-quarter mentions matrix.
AI Initiative
+8.2c edgeQ Hist
71.4%
Fair
67.1%
Ask
58.9c
Supply Chain
-2.4c edgeQ Hist
32.8%
Fair
35.4%
Ask
37.8c
Cost Optimization
+5.6c edgeQ Hist
83.3%
Fair
78.6%
Ask
73.0c
| Keyword | Q2 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Initiative | 5/6 | ||||||
| Supply Chain | 2/6 | ||||||
| Cost Optimization | 6/6 | ||||||
| Revenue Growth | 4/6 |
Operator
Good afternoon and welcome to the quarterly earnings call.
CEO
We continue to invest in AI Initiative and Cost Optimization to improve margins and fulfillment speed.
CFO
Revenue Growth stayed strong while we managed operating expenses with tighter controls.
Analyst
Can you comment on Supply Chain improvements and outlook for next quarter?
If your edge lives where earnings narratives meet pricing, this is your operating system. Event Alpha is designed for traders, analysts, and funds focused on prediction markets, earnings calls, and data-driven decision making.
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